NIFTY :-nifty
spot index this week closed with heavy losses at 5553.this nifty
index made high at 5754 while low was 5534.total 200+ points
week volatility and breakdown below 12 month level. on weekly
chart,nifty closed below 12 month level of 5620 with decisive
move and big volume suggesting correction is still on and in
next week below 5620 on closing basis expect target at
5450.below 5450 next major target will be 5200 which is 2/3
correction of this bull run from 4800 to 6000 level.nifty medium
term trend is down and follow sell on rise strategy here. for
nifty index this is 4 th straight losing week and in this period
we seen 450 points drop in this index.on downside 5450 is 2
years level level and on upside 5620 is 12 month and then 5750
si 6 month level level. this week nifty shown resilience after
opening above 12 month level but political crisis and global
tension disturbing investors mood.5450 is major level to watch
if close below that then long term downward cycle will trigger
and may be 4800-4500 level will open for 2013-2014. short term
traders can hold shorts with trailing closing basis stoploss
just above 5620 and expect 5450 and then 5200 as downside
target.or buy and accumulate in nifty 5300 may-june put options
with stoploss to minimize exposure.
BANK NIFTY
:-
bank nifty spot index this week closed at 11098 with heavy
loss.this week bank nifty index made high at 11590 while low was
11021.in this week we seen 550 points volatility and breakdown
below 12 month level level. on weekly chart,bank nifty index
closed below 12 month level of 11330 while trading way below 6
month level of 11725 now these are strong resistances.on
downside 10770 is 2 years level and last support of this bull
market.this rally started from 8000 level in jan 2012 and hit
high of 13k in 2013.if we calculate 2/3 correction here then
target comes around 9700.this may be possible deep downside
target. for next week below 11350 stoploss level hold short
view and follow sell on rise strategy and expect 10800 to 10500
as target levels.or accumulate in bank nifty 11000 put options
of next expiry.
SENSEX :-
sensex spot index this week closed at 18450 with heavy
losses.this week sensex made high at 19060 while low was 18389
so total almost 700 points downside rally from top to bottom and
breakdown below 12 month level. on weekly chart,sensex trading
below 12 month level of 18560 and way below 6 month level of
18995 while on downside 18060 is 24 month level and target for
next week.traders hold shorts with trailing stoploss of 18600
and expect 18050 to 17800 as downside targets in next week. for
next week hold short view and follow sell on rise strategy and
expect 18050 and then 17800 as downside target zones while on
upside 18600 remain closing basis stoploss.or traders can buy
and accumulate in sensex 18000 put option of next expiry with
stoploss.
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